Early Votes Show HARRIS TO WIN ELECTORAL COLLEGE!

276 Electoral votes; Women are the key; media ignores Trump’s poll exaggerations

A projection of the early vote count shows that Kamala Harris has passed the Electoral College’s magic “270” number; she is now at 276 votes.

There have been an astounding 44,101,704 mail-in and early in-person votes already cast as of Monday Oct 28^th .  Most states provide details about the early votes that are cast, including partisan divisions.  It is always possible that a person may be recorded as a Democrat and vote Republican instead, but the polls show the opposite is true:  about ten percent of Republicans plan to vote Democrat.  If anything, the current numbers under-state Kamala’s victory win.

NBC News provides a handy map (below) of how the vote is going in each state; I had to look up the number of Electoral votes for each state because Math…

As you can see, Harris leads nationally by 42% to 40%. 

The thing to note about the early voting is that women are in charge. 

If we are to look at that on a state-by-state basis:

Every single state except for Hawaii and Nevada. is led by women voters.

They are not voting in these numbers because they want to be good citizens; they are voting from outrage!

This is a reproductive rights explosion.

Does this mean that the early vote will change on election day when men vote in greater numbers?

No.

Women vote in greater numbers overall than men.  What the early results show is that the women’s propensity to vote early will mean that the male vote on election day will be balanced by another wave of enthusiastic women voters of at least equal numbers…maybe more.  Double whammy. 

In the proverbial “swing states”, BTW, the gender gap is equally strong, with women voters outnumbering men by 54-49%.  Five whole points.  That’s a winner in any book.

Women outnumber men in the swing state early voting by 14% in Michigan, 13% in Pennsylvania, 12% in Georgia, 10% in Wisconsin, 9% in North Carolina, and 4% in Arizona. Only in Nevada did they fall behind men, by 2%.

The big difference between this vote and the last time we threw Trump out of office (2020) is that the Democratic candidate this time is a woman, so the female edge in the voting will be even stronger. 

Just to get a handle on the raw numbers involved, some 244 million Americans will be eligible to vote this year.  Considering that Trump lost by a landslide in 2020, 81-million to 72-million, we can infer at least similar proportions this time around.  70% of the population voted in 2020.  Take 70% of 244 million and we can expect at least 170-million people to vote this time around.  That means that at least 132-million people will vote for Harris.  Trump lost by 9 million votes in 2020; this time he will be crushed by at least 20 million votes.

It's going to be hard for him to make the case that a conspiracy involving 20 million votes has been pulled off against him.

There are a dozen countries in the world with populations equal to the size of the wave that is coming down on Trump.

And the vote from women does not count the extra voting power of Kamala’s other two biggest fan  groups.  There are 8 million new Gen Z voters who are hitting the polls for the first time.  Are they going to tick the box of a 79-year-old geriatric mumbling clown who keeps groping young ladies?  Also, three-quarters (at least) of Black voters will cast their ballots for Kamala.

In the meantime, in an attempt to deny the obvious, the Trump team is counting on the obtuseness of the traditional media to prevent news of its attempt at poll-rigging from coming out.

The Republican Party is issuing a stream of polling information that is heavily geared towards making Trump look like a winner.  Their data firms are engaged in a data-driven psyop designed to spread a sense of gloom among Democrats.

They tried this in the “Red wave” propaganda campaign in 2022, and it was bounced then; I don’t know why they think the maneuver will work in 2024.

If in doubt, fail it out – new motto.

As reported by Dave McAfee:

Even shifts of a small magnitude can be very misleading to social media influencers who do not have the resources or background to verify polling results.

The strategy, though, confuses me a bit: if Democrats think they are behind, won’t even more of them come out on election day?  I don’t buy the theory that depression would keep people away.

Anyhow, for what it’s worth, their trick didn’t help last time either.

In a sense, the Republicans walked into this cave of surprises because of an inborn male gestalt about superiority.

I do not have that superiority trait.  I am married.

I think the latest scandal at the Washington Post gives a hint about why the abortion issue keep being pushed down the priority list. 

The Post, as you know, is owned by Male billionaire Jeff Bezos, who refused to allow the Post to endorse Kamala, despite its previous endorsement of Trump rivals on two occasions.

Men like that are not inclined to put women’s issues at the front of any commentary.  They are “Give me the good old-fashioned ‘priority issues’ like ‘the economy’, or ‘inflation’  -  meaningless and harmless topics that voters can do nothing about.  Those “issues” will certainly not threaten us billionaires with any upcoming action.”

But abortion presents an issue with a real action agenda – one that can be worked into new laws and enacted quickly.  If women get more control over their lives, who knows what might happen?  Next, they’d be wanting to leave the nursery to go out and vote!

So let’s send a memo out to all male media owners: let’s tell our reporters to keep away from reproductive rights.  If it’s a headline, like an abortion ban getting overturned in a state, then yes, report it…but don’t dwell on it or let it seep over into regular election reporting as if it were a fundamental, spinal issue in this election.

Surprise.

In a democracy the reality will eventually catch up with the fevered dream.

An Elon Musk can dance around throwing out checks, but it does nothing to alter the fundamental fact of reproductive rights: you’re going down Donald.

And you’re taking the entire criminal Republican caucus with you.

I wish I could say that they will be missed.

I’d love to do a poll about it.

But I’ve seen Kamala’s numbers, and I can assure you that the only impression they will make as they leave, will be a flushing sound.

Entirely appropriate for their diapered champion.

In the meantime it looks pretty obvious that we will have our first female President, of Caribbean and Indian heritage.

This confirms many things about America:

·       Give it enough time, and the pendulum swings back from fascism to liberalism;

·       The time when women took the vote was a solid move;

·       America really is a ‘melting pot’;

·       New things – like feminine leadership – are not impossible (and name me a totalitarian country with a woman as head of state); and

·       Democracy works and looks like it will keep working for another 250 years.

The reason for that last comment, is that the odd combination of deluded uneducated morons hit a peak an election cycle ago.  Now 54% of Americans have college degrees, and the proportion is rising.  Trump and his uber-stupid people have missed the boat. 

I am not implying that there will not be ferocious disputes in the future; I am only suggesting that they will be among people who know how to read a book.

MAGA is made up of White males, who are detested by the great majority of society.

Look at the name: Make American Great AGAIN.  ‘Again’ implies a point in history that they would like to return to.

Such as a time when Blacks were servants, women were reproductive machines living in the kitchen minding the babies, and good jobs required no intellectual effort and could be found on the factory floor.

News flash:  that was never ‘great’ and we’re never going back there.

As Kamala’s coming victory will show you.

Blow by blow on election night, MAGA will hear the nails being pounded into their coffin.

There will be few mourners at the funeral.

Because the vast majority of American society will be celebrating the victory of a lady who represents every value that actually does make America ‘great’:  change, innovation, social justice and hope.

Me, Michael Moore and Professor Lichtman – we have never been wrong on election night, and we say Harris will win.  The advanced voting says she will win.  Your best bet for November 5^th is to be prepared for good news!

A new America is just a few days away.